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Weather worth knowing

Provincetown, MA

Tuesday, October 13

59°cloudy

Showers likely tonight on a mild, muggy night

Tonight's rain chance climbs to 51% around midnight in Provincetown as low pressure tracking across northern New England drags a second round of showers south onto the Cape. The air won't cool off: temperatures should actually tick up to about 62° by 1 AM as the wind turns southwest.

rain · tonight

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The week ahead

Forecast changes since yesterday

Holding steady — no day's high or rain chance moved since yesterday's edition.

Next five days

TueWedThuFriSat
High62°68°60°64°55°
Low58°58°53°50°44°
Precip51%3%9%95%15%

The week, as the models see it

The models mostly agree this week. The widest day, Fri, spans 55–66°.

Forecast high temperature (°F) · next 7 days · a blend of models
PNG ↓
40°60°TueWedThuFriSatSunMon

82 model runs, colored by temperature  ·  middle of the pack  ·  official forecast

Friday is the wettest: the models center on 0.4 in, most between 0.1 and 1.0, the wettest 1.3.

Rain by day (inches) · next 7 days · a blend of models
PNG ↓
0.510TueWedThuFriSatSunMon▲ 1.3▲ 2.4▲ 2.1INCHES

82 model runs, daily totals (dim = dry)  ·  middle 80%  ·  middle of the pack

Keeping score

Also worth knowing

Wednesday's high should reach 68° before a drop

Wednesday's forecast high is 68°, the warmest day of the week, before drier Ontario air knocks Thursday's high back to 60°. An isolated afternoon shower can't be ruled out Wednesday as the trailing cold front passes.

warm · midweek

Friday storm should bring about a half inch of rain

Rain should arrive Friday morning, with most of the models near a half inch of rain and a range from a couple tenths to nearly an inch. Gusts near 35 mph look likely Friday, and the strongest model reaches about 55 mph.

rain · wind · friday

Saturday's high should hold to 55° behind front

Saturday's forecast high is 55° as a strong cold front pushes through in the morning and air near freezing about 2,500 feet up pours in on northwest winds. Gusts to 45 mph are possible across the region in its wake.

cold · wind · weekend

Afternoon edition, 2026-10-13 · station history coming · tomorrow morning: what today's forecast said, next to what happened.

Yesterday's receipt

Every forecast here is kept, but Provincetown has no reporting station on the roster yet, so there's nothing observed to grade against. That's next.

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