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Your forecast, explained.

Pensacola, FL

Friday, October 9

74° — Tropical Storm Conditions Expected With Hurricane Conditions Possible

Alerts · National Weather Service

Hurricane Isaias
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS BEGINNING ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
Storm Surge Warninguntil further notice
Hurricane Warninguntil further notice
Flood Watchuntil Sat 1 PM
High Surf Warninguntil Sun 12 AM
Rip Current Statementuntil Sun 6 PM

Changed since yesterday

Today rain 70%→98% Saturday rain 97%→14% Sunday rain 35%→1%

Next five days

FriSatSunMonTue
High78°79°85°87°87°
Low68°67°66°66°67°
Precip98%14%1%0%0%
Alerts

The scorecard · this week

M
T
W
T
F
S
S

No graded days yet this week.

Worth knowing today

Isaias is a hurricane with 110 mph winds, 245 miles south of Pensacola and moving north-northeast at 15 mph, and the Hurricane and Storm Surge Warnings stand. For the stretch from the Alabama/Florida border to Grayton Beach, surge could reach 6 to 9 feet above ground if the peak lands at high tide, and surf on northwest Florida beaches could peak around 20 to 25 feet.
hurricane · surge · surf
The middle of 82 runs now puts Pensacola's peak gust at 58 mph around 2 PM, damaging strength, with the strongest run at 106 mph. Rain totals moved up too: a median of 4.1 inches, 2.4 to 6.2 across the middle of the runs, with most of it falling between 9 AM and 7 PM today.
wind · rain · flooding
Wind gusts (mph) · next 3 days, hourly · a blend of models
PNG ↓
39 mph · tropical storm force58 mph · damaging74 mph · hurricane force020406080100120Sat 12 AMSat 12 PMSun 12 AMSun 12 PMMon 12 AMMon 12 PMMPH

median gust  ·  middle 80% of 82 runs  ·  threads = individual runs  ·  dashed = named wind thresholds

Rainfall, running total (inches) · next 3 days · a blend of models
PNG ↓
1 in2 in4 in0246Sat 12 AMSat 12 PMSun 12 AMSun 12 PMMon 12 AMMon 12 PMINCHES

median run, running total  ·  middle 80% of 82 runs  ·  threads = individual runs  ·  dashed = reference amounts

Once Isaias clears out Saturday, high pressure takes over, and Sunday's high spans 76 to 88 across the runs, with a median of 85. The low end likely reflects lingering clouds behind the storm. Columbus Day is now up to 87 from 84.
sunday · spread · warmup
Forecast high temperature (°F) · next 7 days · a blend of models
PNG ↓
70°90°FriSatSunMonTueWedThu

82 model runs, colored by temperature  ·  middle of the pack  ·  official forecast

Written 2026-10-09 · station history coming · tomorrow morning: what today's forecast said, next to what happened.

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